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2024-12-13 04:32:30

Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.Interbank certificates of deposit funds are popular. In the context of the current downward trend of non-bank interbank deposit rates, interbank deposit rates are relatively more attractive, and interbank deposit funds have recently gained popularity. Since December, the 7-day holding fund of AAA index of China Securities Interbank Deposits issued by BlackRock Fund and Agricultural Bank of China Credit Suisse Fund has reached the upper limit of 5 billion yuan, and triggered proportional placement. Both funds are partially confirmed by the principle of "doomsday ratio confirmation", and the doomsday confirmation ratio is 73.36% and 27.02% respectively. In addition, Huatai Bairui Fund and China-Canada Fund also imposed subscription restrictions on their 7-day holding funds of the AAA Index of China Securities Interbank Deposits. From December 11th, the amount of multiple cumulative subscriptions (including conversion and fixed investment) for a single fund account of Huatai Bairui CSI Interbank Deposit Certificate AAA Index 7-day holding fund shall not exceed 100,000 yuan; From December 6th, the subscription amount of a single investor of the 7-day holding fund of China-Canada CSI Interbank Deposit Certificate AAA Index will not exceed 10 million yuan (except for individual investors and public asset management products). (CSI Taurus)Hong Kong Stock Exchange: Before the end of 2025, the system will be technically compatible with the T+1 settlement cycle. The Hong Kong Stock Exchange announced on December 12 that it will launch a plan to improve the post-trading service of the stock spot market. Starting from mid-2025, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange will gradually introduce new post-trading functions on its OCP. The new functions include automatic report downloading and information exchange, real-time transmission and processing of transaction data, related positions and reference data, and real-time delivery instruction pairing. As part of the whole platform upgrade plan, HKEx will ensure that its system is technically compatible with the T+1 settlement cycle by the end of 2025. However, what kind of settlement cycle will be adopted in Hong Kong in the future will be decided after market discussion.


Ali's Taotian Supply Chain Company increased its capital to 50 million yuan, an increase of 400%. Tianyancha App shows that recently, Hangzhou Taotian Supply Chain Co., Ltd. has undergone industrial and commercial changes, and its registered capital has increased from 10 million yuan to 50 million yuan, an increase of 400%. At the same time, some key personnel have changed. Hangzhou Taotian Supply Chain Co., Ltd. was established in January 2016, and its legal representative is Zhang Bowen. Its business scope includes supply chain management services, professional design services, socio-economic consulting services, primary processing of edible agricultural products, primary processing of non-edible agricultural products, wholesale of aquatic products, acquisition of aquatic products, frozen processing of aquatic products, etc. It is wholly owned by Alibaba (China) Network Technology Co., Ltd.On December 11th, there were 683 sets of online signboards for new houses and 1032 sets of online signboards for second-hand houses in Beijing. According to the data of official website of Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, there were 683 sets of online signboards for new houses in Beijing on December 11th, with an area of 38,449.38 square meters, including 167 sets of online signboards for residential houses and an area of 22,638.67 square meters. There are 1032 sets of second-hand housing online signs with an area of 93,714.26 square meters, including 928 sets of residential online signs with an area of 88,314.64 square meters.During the "slimming" of the brokerage business department, more than 100 companies were cancelled during the year, and the competition turned to differentiated services. The brokerage business of brokerage companies is welcoming a new round of changes. In the past few days, a number of brokers have announced the cancellation of their relevant business departments. According to the reporter's incomplete statistics, in the past two weeks, many brokers such as Nanjing Securities, Guosen Securities and Pacific Securities announced that they would "streamline" their business departments. Looking at it for a long time, more than 35 brokers have issued announcements during the year, "downsizing" hundreds of business departments. Insiders pointed out that the traditional offline outlet business development model has increasingly shown drawbacks and high cost pressure; At the same time, more and more customers rely on online transactions and mobile terminal transactions, so it is imperative to "streamline" the business department to reduce costs and increase efficiency. Future competition depends more on differentiated financial management and trading services. (Shell Finance)


China Merchants Securities: Hisense's household appliances are obviously underestimated, and the safety cushion is thick, and it is rated as "strongly recommended". China Merchants Securities Research Report pointed out that the growth rate of Hisense's household appliances (000921.SZ) slowed down, showing the first year-on-year decline in nine quarters since 22Q3, and the market confidence was weak. The company is obviously underestimated, and the safety mat is thick. Looking horizontally, in 2025, the valuations of Hisense, Midea and Haier will be 10/13/13 times; Historically, the company's share price has been deeply adjusted since May this year, and the current valuation is at a lower level since the 22-year reform. Referring to the global valuation system, the steady-state PE hub of johnson controls/Carrier/Trane is 30/25/20 times, which is higher than the valuation of white power enterprises represented by Whirlpool and Electrolux. Hisense household appliances, as the standard of A-share central air conditioning, should enjoy a higher valuation than white power companies. The improvement of the company's bottom management promotes efficiency and cost reduction+the global operation competitiveness is constantly strengthened+the company's leading position is stable under the background of domestic substitution of central air conditioning, and it continues to be firmly optimistic about the company. It is estimated that the company's revenue will increase by +8%, +9% and +10% from 2024 to 2026, and its performance will increase by +15%, +14% and +16% respectively. Give a "strongly recommended" rating.Rapdidus will start producing 2-nanometer chips in April next year. Dong Zhelang, president of Rapdidus, an advanced Japanese semiconductor foundry company, said that by the end of March 2025, Rapdidus will complete all the equipment setup required for trial production of 2-nanometer chips, and start the trial production line in April to actually produce 2-nanometer chips.US media: "Ukraine provides drones to Syrian opposition forces." According to Reuters's December 11th quote from Washington post, a few weeks before Syrian opposition forces launched an offensive and overthrew former President Bashar al-Assad, Syrian militants obtained about 150 drones and other secret support from Ukrainian intelligence personnel. Washington post quoted unnamed sources familiar with Ukrainian military activities as saying that four to five weeks ago, Ukrainian intelligence agencies sent about 20 drone operators and about 150 drones to help the "Syrian Sham Liberation Army". According to the report, the Russian Foreign Ministry said earlier that the Syrian opposition armed forces obtained drones from Ukraine and received operational training. The Russian Foreign Ministry did not provide evidence. At that time, the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry said that it "categorically" denied this statement. (Reference message)

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